Boston Celtics
The reigning champions are still among the most complete units in the league. Boston leads the NBA in both 3-point volume and makes, while ranking top five in offensive and defensive ratings. With Jayson Tatum anchoring the core, Joe Mazzulla’s group boasts depth, chemistry, and elite two-way play. A bounce-back after their Game 1 loss to the Knicks could restore their title trajectory. If they recapture form, they’re built to repeat.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Statistically dominant and defensively elite, the Thunder posted the best point differential in league history (+12.9) and led the BPI’s title projections. But youth and experience remain their question marks. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander must recover his efficiency after a shaky Game 1, while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren need to step up. If they rise to the moment, OKC has a clear — and historic — path to their first title since 1979.
Denver Nuggets
Led by MVP candidate Nikola Jokic, the defending champions continue to execute at the highest level. The Murray-Jokic pick-and-roll remains lethal, and Denver’s starters are among the league’s most cohesive. Depth and fatigue are concerns, but a Game 1 comeback win over the Thunder proves they’re still battle-tested and dangerous. If their shooting holds up, they could make it back-to-back titles.
Indiana Pacers
Indiana plays fast, balanced, and confidently under Tyrese Haliburton’s leadership. Their starting five has been one of the most effective lineups this postseason. Defense and shooting consistency are key, but their depth and chemistry make them a formidable East threat. If they stay healthy and keep their pace, they could shock the field and reach the Finals.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Elite defensively and loaded with size and athleticism, the Wolves are led by Anthony Edwards — a breakout star this postseason. Their Game 1 loss to Golden State hasn’t shaken confidence. Improved perimeter shooting could elevate them even further. If they get a rematch with Denver — a team they’ve dominated — it may open the door to their first Finals appearance since the franchise’s founding.
Golden State Warriors
Experience, pedigree, and postseason savvy define this team. Stephen Curry and Draymond Green know how to win, and Steve Kerr’s system thrives in high-stakes moments. With Curry sidelined, their margin for error is slim — but if he returns healthy, and the young core stays composed, Golden State remains the most dangerous underdog in the field.
New York Knicks
Jalen Brunson’s heroics have carried the Knicks, and with Boston looking vulnerable, opportunity knocks. If injuries plague the Celtics and the Cavs fall to Indiana, New York could find itself with home-court in the East Finals. Shooting consistency and health remain question marks, but in a wide-open bracket, the Knicks have a path — and a chance to end a 52-year title drought.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Injuries have disrupted their momentum, but the talent that won 64 games still resides in Cleveland. Getting Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and De’Andre Hunter back is crucial. Shot-making has swung against them, but regression could come their way. If they survive Indiana and stabilize, the Cavs have the structure and ceiling to contend again. But time is short — and the margin for error has disappeared.
